Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.131493 3.456818 3.808736 4.218898 4.685300 5.200877 5.816302
2025-08-17 2.581362 3.001486 3.486472 4.091947 4.833475 5.719637 6.870253
2025-08-24 2.260739 2.727695 3.292561 4.034396 4.995257 6.214976 7.908561
2025-08-31 2.044078 2.539582 3.161815 4.013355 5.168708 6.712146 8.983463
2025-09-07 1.927489 2.457940 3.146754 4.125415 5.511478 7.454337 10.477922
2025-09-14 1.786226 2.326697 3.048085 4.105475 5.658249 7.926388 11.633144
2025-09-21 1.661099 2.204153 2.946674 4.065536 5.762862 8.336996 12.738976
2025-09-28 1.512200 2.036067 2.766152 3.890840 5.642383 8.381545 13.245489
2025-10-05 1.442222 1.973413 2.729556 3.923554 5.839087 8.941851 14.697970
2025-10-12 1.390290 1.932163 2.719506 3.993204 6.097450 9.627890 16.475660
2025-10-19 1.342274 1.892678 2.707937 4.057284 6.349851 10.329265 18.393148
2025-10-26 1.294226 1.849470 2.686654 4.102152 6.571434 10.998778 20.358811
2025-11-02 1.241905 1.797800 2.650580 4.122878 6.759162 11.641693 22.418439
2025-11-09 1.163575 1.701184 2.536948 4.003397 6.683274 11.775136 23.408163
2025-11-16 1.105449 1.632899 2.464286 3.947969 6.718250 12.127195 24.952912
2025-11-23 1.059100 1.580641 2.414233 3.927574 6.815885 12.615772 26.913487
2025-11-30 1.040647 1.572200 2.435979 4.036674 7.173787 13.693099 30.559078
2025-12-07 1.000339 1.525515 2.389858 4.017267 7.273393 14.225585 32.920826
2025-12-14 0.959605 1.475953 2.335723 3.978389 7.328687 14.665374 35.132171
2025-12-21 0.899925 1.391765 2.216881 3.808302 7.094752 14.411787 35.325321
2025-12-28 0.876690 1.368314 2.203487 3.840156 7.292133 15.198223 38.764080
2026-01-04 0.860332 1.355734 2.208491 3.907970 7.573889 16.229477 43.241006
2026-01-11 0.843960 1.342223 2.210849 3.970355 7.849835 17.288592 48.130393